Now that all the hurly burly is done with and the much hyped Uttar Pradesh elections are over. Its time to sit quietly and think what next for Maya...a majority in 14 years...wow !!! All the usual statistics about brahmins voting for BSP and the Congress formula being subverted etc etc is long gone. Its time to think what lies ahead for UP.
The Congress style of brahmins preaching to dalits for 40 years is gone, though the Congress did give ornamental presence to dalits in their ministries right from the days of Babu Jagjivan Ram. But now its the other way around...BSP has almost her MLA strength in the form of upper castes. That pretty much explains how Maya has come a long way to now playing a major role in national politics.
Now lets try and imagine the scenario a few months later. Maya is known to run the administration with an iron hand. She doesnt like individuals who try and create their own identity...it makes her insecure. So one should not expect to see ministers performing well as individuals. Something which could negate all of Maya's good intentions.
As far as her MLA's are concerned, we all know that the tickets did come at a price and all elected members would want to extract that price once in power. Its a natural phenomenon and one should not grudge the MLA's for doing that. Because its a simple give and take formula and thats how businesses run.
So if Im an upper caste MLA and Im trying to extract my price though government contracts or maybe some land dispute...who will I be in direct conflict with ??? At some point of time, it will be a dalit in some sphere of work...and thats when the real test for Maya will come. Will she keep her new found friends happy or will she stick to keeping her base cadre intact. She will have to take a decision because she can only keep one side happy. In either case, one side will be unhappy and thats the catch...what will the unhappy side do.
If its the upper caste...then his anger will slowly simmer as he will wait for the right moment...the dalits have been murmuring their unhappiness with maya's brahmin wooing formula for the past few months...but with a resounding win, its muted for now. If its the dalit who is left unhappy, then these murmurs will again start...it takes one small example to make it the talk of the town.
Another scenario...in the villages of UP, there is already talk of brahmin ministers touching maya's feet...this applies to all upper castes who took oath as ministers. But its the brahmin who takes his caste more seriously...earlier he was in conflict with the Yadav who used to trumpet around the village when Mulayam was in power. The Yadavs gaining power led to major resentment within brahmins, which is why they decided to teach Mulayam a lesson by voting for maya. Now the Yadav sits next to the paan shop extolling the virtues of brahmins...especially the latest feet touching move. That will never go down well with the brahmins at large, but the Yadav will keep reminding the brahmins of their glorious past with today...and would be loving every moment of it.
Maya's unexpected victory is also because in my view, its an unnatural combination. Both cannot be happy at the same time. Earlier the brahmins had their way...but now the dalits are extremely aware of their rights and status. Its upto the brahmins to be more resilient if this unnatural combination has to slowly find a workable solution. So will Maya be able to defend her citadel...will she able to keep this jadui tilism going ??? Thats a million dollar question and we do know that she really really wants this combination to work...because now she has bigger plans...to ascend the throne in delhi...use these five years to grow in stature from a regional player to gaining acceptancy at the national level. Use this combination in other states and then stake claim in Delhi. If she can keep her flock together in UP for five years...then be rest assured that she could well be addressing the country from Lal Qila in the near future. The Congress better watch out !!!
The Congress style of brahmins preaching to dalits for 40 years is gone, though the Congress did give ornamental presence to dalits in their ministries right from the days of Babu Jagjivan Ram. But now its the other way around...BSP has almost her MLA strength in the form of upper castes. That pretty much explains how Maya has come a long way to now playing a major role in national politics.
Now lets try and imagine the scenario a few months later. Maya is known to run the administration with an iron hand. She doesnt like individuals who try and create their own identity...it makes her insecure. So one should not expect to see ministers performing well as individuals. Something which could negate all of Maya's good intentions.
As far as her MLA's are concerned, we all know that the tickets did come at a price and all elected members would want to extract that price once in power. Its a natural phenomenon and one should not grudge the MLA's for doing that. Because its a simple give and take formula and thats how businesses run.
So if Im an upper caste MLA and Im trying to extract my price though government contracts or maybe some land dispute...who will I be in direct conflict with ??? At some point of time, it will be a dalit in some sphere of work...and thats when the real test for Maya will come. Will she keep her new found friends happy or will she stick to keeping her base cadre intact. She will have to take a decision because she can only keep one side happy. In either case, one side will be unhappy and thats the catch...what will the unhappy side do.
If its the upper caste...then his anger will slowly simmer as he will wait for the right moment...the dalits have been murmuring their unhappiness with maya's brahmin wooing formula for the past few months...but with a resounding win, its muted for now. If its the dalit who is left unhappy, then these murmurs will again start...it takes one small example to make it the talk of the town.
Another scenario...in the villages of UP, there is already talk of brahmin ministers touching maya's feet...this applies to all upper castes who took oath as ministers. But its the brahmin who takes his caste more seriously...earlier he was in conflict with the Yadav who used to trumpet around the village when Mulayam was in power. The Yadavs gaining power led to major resentment within brahmins, which is why they decided to teach Mulayam a lesson by voting for maya. Now the Yadav sits next to the paan shop extolling the virtues of brahmins...especially the latest feet touching move. That will never go down well with the brahmins at large, but the Yadav will keep reminding the brahmins of their glorious past with today...and would be loving every moment of it.
Maya's unexpected victory is also because in my view, its an unnatural combination. Both cannot be happy at the same time. Earlier the brahmins had their way...but now the dalits are extremely aware of their rights and status. Its upto the brahmins to be more resilient if this unnatural combination has to slowly find a workable solution. So will Maya be able to defend her citadel...will she able to keep this jadui tilism going ??? Thats a million dollar question and we do know that she really really wants this combination to work...because now she has bigger plans...to ascend the throne in delhi...use these five years to grow in stature from a regional player to gaining acceptancy at the national level. Use this combination in other states and then stake claim in Delhi. If she can keep her flock together in UP for five years...then be rest assured that she could well be addressing the country from Lal Qila in the near future. The Congress better watch out !!!
2 comments:
I Think this is not the right judgement!!!!
As I said Mayawati is gonna be out after 5 years take it from me !!!forget Lalquila she might have to struggle for 5 Kalidas Marg!!! DUDE the equation was (Mayawati in chair = anti incumbency + lack of proper alternative )
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