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Monday, January 13, 2014

Musical Chairs in AICC



The only ray of hope for the Congress party’s fortunes post 2014 reflected in heir apparent Rahul Gandhi’s decision to appoint Sachin Pilot as the State President of Rajasthan Congress on 13th January. Just when one was hoping that the new year will see many such bold decisions, the Congress high command went ahead and appointed Arun Yadav as the new State president of Madhya Pradesh Congress. Arun’s father Subhash Yadav was a senior Congress leader who also served as Deputy Chief Minister under Digvijaya Singh in the 1990s. But everyone knew that the reason for Subhash Yadav’s rise had more to do with him being an OBC rather than his abilities as a politician.

While Sachin is seen as a young and ambitious leader, but he still has to please the Meenas, Jats and the OBC’s if he is to revive the Congress from the hammering it has just received in the Assembly elections at the hands of BJP. He also has the aspirations of Ashok Gehlot’s son Vaibhav to deal with, but he is relatively new to politics. Jitendra Singh is more at ease staying in Delhi helping Rahul Gandhi as an organization man. So the field is clear for the young Pilot to start afresh.

Arun on the other hand is not as young as Pilot, and one hopes can spring a pleasant surprise for the Congress in the state. But with the BJP winning for the third time in a row, Congress is on the brink of fading out completely just like the BJP was in Delhi during Sheila Dikshit’s regime. Adding to his problems is the fact that the next generation of Digvijaya Singh, Kantilal Bhuria, Kamalnath is already ready to take on the mantle. While other senior leaders like Satyavrat Chaturvedi and Suresh Pachauri are still around. Then ofcourse he has the likes of Jyotiraditya Scindia, Meenakshi Natarajan and Priyavrat Singh (MP, IYC President) to deal with. Adding to this is the fact that he is not considered a bright bet will only make the task more onerous.

It is in this backdrop that the Congress headquarters at Akbar Road are abuzz with preparations for the prodigal son’s coronation, it will be foolhardy to expect a major organizational change on the cards. It was almost a year ago that Rahul Gandhi was anointed Vice President on 19th January, 2013 in Jaipur. Though Congressmen celebrated the elevation across the country, but little has been achieved by the Party in the past one year. It was wiped out from the same place of his coronation within a year.

The party has little to cheer about, it won Mizoram, lost Delhi and Rajasthan while failed to dent the BJP in MP and Chhattisgarh. But what has had a telling blow to the morale of the party is the emergence of AAP. A party that thrived on abusing the first family of the Congress while accusing the UPA of being the most corrupt Govt. Despite all this, the Congress has ended up supporting AAP to help the one year old party to power in Delhi and fire the imagination of the people fed with the same old political parties.

There was talk of one man one post in the Congress for the past many years. When Rahul Gandhi took over as General Secretary of the party in 2007, many thought he will relieve a lot of senior ministers of their dual roles who are Union Ministers as well as party office bearers. Nothing did change, there were similar talks when he was appointed Vice President last year but status quo remained. Hence it will be prudent on our part to assume that the same system will still rule the roost, at least for now.

Younger faces like Jyotiraditya Scindia and Jitendra Singh who enjoy full support of the incumbent President will play a major role in the 2014 Election strategy. The usual suspects of the IYC pass outs like Ashok Tanwar and Meenakshi Natarajan may also get some assignment since the party has to show it promotes leaders from SC/ST and middle class families too. This is because most of the young leaders in the party are either sons or relatives of regional satraps of the party. The tag of dynastic rule in the party refuses to go despite Rahul trying his best to do so since his entry into politics in 2004.

Most General Secretaries are likely to contest Lok Sabha elections, especially the ones who are close confidantes of Rahul. Madhusudan Mistry who got into Rahul’s good books after a comprehensive research on candidates in Karnataka assembly elections. But his tenure as UP in charge has been found wanting, and he will have to contest from Sabarkantha, Gujarat. CP Joshi is the other senior leader who is considered very close to Rahul, but he also failed to deliver when they were wiped out of Rajasthan in December last year. He too will have to retain his Nathdwara seat from Rajasthan in Lok Sabha elections. Other leaders like Digvijay Singh, Gurudas Kamat, Luizinho Faleiro, BK Hariprasad too will have to fight it out in LS 2014.

The spade work for his coronation has already begun by giving the party’s PR contract of Rs 500 crores to Dentsu India which will work closely with Rahul’s team to make short films and advertisements to boost his image in the public. While Burson-Marsteller will handle his social media by creating a buzz with interesting tweets, debates on Twitter and Facebook. They will also bring more awareness by hard selling UPA’s flagship schemes like MNREGA, RTI, NFSB, DBT and the latest being Lokpal Bill. One can already see younger faces like Randeep Singh Surjewala and Shoba Oza defend the party at official press briefings.

But the work is harder than it ever was for Rahul Gandhi. He has to convince the public which seems to be sure that UPA’s second tenure has been full of corruption (2G, CWG, Coalgate etc) while his party has already enjoyed the fruits of power for 10 years. He is also pitted against Narendra Modi as a rival for the PM’s chair. Most political pundits will write him off as a no contest against the well oiled PR machinery of BJP’s PM candidate Narendra Modi. Perhaps Rahul too thinks that going the hi tech way will improve his TRP amongst the public, but doing that will only make him another follower and not a leader whom others look to follow.

The fear of Modi running away with the advantage seems to be top most on the mind of the Congress think tank. That explains why the sudden hurry to anoint Rahul as the supreme leader of the party and then improve his image through seasoned PR companies. Adding to more speculation is his sister Priyanka Vadra also attending the war room meetings of the Party. While Rahul will be the face of the party, it will be Priyanka who will plan the strategy for LS 2014 as the backroom operator. This will not only rejuvenate the party cadre, but will also keep them guessing that all hope is not lost after LS 2014. Just like the Manmohan Sonia combination, the Congress is now offering the country a brand new Rahul Priyanka combination. The Congress may talk and advertise about its much hyped makeover, but the truth is that they only have a handful of families to share the spoils of power and be instruments of change. Only the name changes, the blend remains the same just like the grand old party.